Monday, May 31, 2010

Puzzle Piece 3: The Universe - how'd it get here?


TFY’d: The Universe
“Hey Jonnie, nice car!” called Dave.  “Is that a Porsche?”
“Sure is!” replied Jonnie.  “I just got it.”
“How can you afford that?” asked Dave incredulously.
“I didn’t pay for it!” Jonnie said.  “I walked out of the house this morning and was about to get into my old car when this one just popped into existence in my driveway!”
“Ha ha,” said Dave.  “Very funny.  But seriously, how can you afford this?”
“I’m serious,” said Jonnie.  “It really did just appear out of nowhere in my driveway this morning.”
“Things don’t just appear for no reason, Dave.  I’m not an idiot!”
“But just yesterday you told me that the universe began to exist when the Big Bang happened all those years ago,” Jonnie retorted. 
“Well...I did say that...” Dave conceded. 
“And didn’t you say that before the Big Bang nothing existed?  That the Big Bang created everything?”
“Yeah, but-”
“So you believe that things do just pop into existence,” Jonnie pressed.  “And if the universe can simply explode into existence, why can’t my Porsche?”
“Well, I don’t-“
“C’mon, mate, admit it.  You know full well that things simply don’t begin to exist without a cause!”
“Fine!” Dave agreed.  “So then where do you think the universe came from, Mr Know-it-all?”
“I think God made it,” said Jonnie.  “But I really don’t have time to get into it now – dad’s only loaned me his Porsche for the afternoon!”

Puzzle Piece 3: The Universe – Why is it here?
Last time we looked at why people should care about moral truths.  We also looked at how we come to know things about the world around us – through the process of induction.  We finished with this question: have I ever seen any effects that would require a pre-existing supernatural being as their cause?  In other words – is there stuff that goes on around us that there just has to be someone or something else in charge of in order to explain it? We answered yes – the universe itself!  We deduced that someone or something else outside of us as humans had to be involved in its creation. So let’s turn our investigation there and see what it can tell us about whether or not God exists. 

There are three basic options for considering the universe and its origins: 
1) ETERNAL: Always has been. The first option we have is that the universe is eternal, that it has neither beginning nor end; that it has always existed and always will.  No one created it; it has just always been around. This is not a view that is very popular, but there are some scientists who are putting this idea forward.  What can we say about this?  Well, firstly, there is absolutely no evidence in favour of this hypothesis.  In fact, what we find is that there is a whole pile of evidence in favour of the opposite, that the universe is finite; there will be an end and it began to exist at some point in the past.  The vast majority of scientists, secular and Christian, believe that the universe began to exist about 15 billion years ago in an event called the Big Bang.  Now, some of you may not believe in the Big Bang, and that’s fine, but, in the spirit of accurate investigation, let’s make a tactical decision and embrace the idea for a moment.  What does the science say?  Astronomy and astrophysics tells us that about 15 billion years ago physical space and time were created in an explosion, the ‘Big Bang’, as well as all matter and energy.  All the evidence that scientists have point to the universe having a beginning, not being eternal, and we’ll look at five things in a minute to show this.  So we can strike out the first option – the universe is not eternal. 

2) The second option you have is the aforementioned Big Bang where the universe exploded into existence out of nothing and for no reason. Cambridge astronomer Fred Hoyle points out that the Big Bang Theory requires the creation of the universe from nothing. This is because as you go back in time it reaches a point at which, in Hoyle’s words; the universe was "shrunk down to nothing at all” (more on this later).  This means that because the universe is expanding, when we go back in time we can trace that expansion to the point where all matter in the universe was created in a single explosion.  Thus what the Big Bang model requires is that the universe began to exist and was created out of nothing.  Now, immediately we can see that there is something wrong with this idea.  What is it? 

Answer: you can’t get something from nothing!  This means that when you have a big fat pile of nothing, what can you get out of it?  Nothing!  Things don’t just pop into existence!  This has never been observed – nothing has ever been seen to have just popped into existence out of nothing for no reason.  If this was possible, then we should see things coming into being every now and then.  I mean, if it happened once, why can’t it happen again?  But we don’t see this happening, do we?  Nor do we really believe that it’s possible.  Look at the example with Jonnie’s Porsche.  Dave wouldn’t believe him, because Dave knows that things just don’t come into being for no reason.  People seem to make an exception for the universe, though.  Why?  Why should we make an exception for the universe but not Jonnie’s Porsche? 

Let’s look at another example: suppose you were at your mate’s house and you heard a loud “bang!” and you asked him, “What caused that bang?”  He said, “nothing.  It just happened.”  Would you be prepared to accept that answer?  No!  So why  accept it for the universe?  If a little bang needs a cause, why doesn’t a Big Bang?  Now this tends to be very awkward for the atheist thinker.  For as Anthony Kenny of Oxford University says, "A proponent of the [Big Bang] theory, at least if he is an atheist, must believe that ... the universe came from nothing and by nothing.”  But that’s a pretty hard pill to swallow.  Because, out of nothing, nothing comes!  This leaves us with our final option.

3) The universe was created by an intelligent being (God).  As we have seen, the idea that the universe is uncreated and just happened to pop into being uncaused seems illogical and unreasonable.  It certainly asks us to make a single exception for the universe in our knowledge of where things come from, so it seems that the idea that the universe was caused or created is a much more reasonable idea.  Why not accept the explanation that the unimaginably vast and awesome universe was made by Someone? 

The Kalam Cosmological Argument
We want to lay this idea out in a very simple, three step argument, an argument that has been around since the Middle Ages called the Kalam Cosmological Argument.  This is an argument that was invented by a Muslim philosopher name Al-Khazali and it goes like this:
  1. Everything that begins to exist has a cause
  2. The universe began to exist, therefore
  3. The universe has a cause
This simple argument sums up neatly what we have just been discussing about how nothing just begins to exist for no reason, but that everything that has a beginning has a cause, including the universe.  We’ve already discussed the first premise, so let’s cut straight to Premise B, and find out just what evidence there is that the universe had a beginning. 

SURGE
In their book I Don’t Have Enough Faith to be an Atheist, Norm Geisler and Frank Turek lay out five pieces of evidence for the beginning of the universe that they sum up in the acronym SURGE.  Let’s see what they are:
S – The S stands for the Second Law of Thermodynamics.  This is a law of science that says that the universe is running out of energy.  One day all the energy in the universe will be gone and the universe will achieve what’s commonly called “heat death” –meaning all the heat will be used up and the whole universe will be cold and dead.  Think of it like your car.  Over time it uses up petrol, and unless you put more in it’ll eventually run out.  How does this prove the universe had a beginning?  The universe is a closed system – that means that it’s impossible for the universe to get more petrol.  So if it can’t be refuelled, and it’s using up fuel, and it’s eventually going to run out, it can’t have been going forever, or it would have already run out.  After all, you know that if a cup of coffee is still warm it hasn’t been sitting there forever or it would be stone cold by now. 

U – The U stands for the fact that the Universe is expanding, something that astronomer Edwin Hubble discovered in the late 1920s.  How does this prove the universe had a beginning?  Geisler and Turek say this (p79):
If we could watch a video recording of the history of the universe in reverse, we would see all matter in the universe collapse back to a point, not the size of a basketball, not the size of a golf ball, not even the size of a pinhead, but mathematically and logically to a point that is actually nothing (i.e., no space, no time, and no matter).  In other words, once there was nothing, and then, BANG, there was something...
Remember British author Anthony Kenny’s word from earlier when he pointed out the significance of this:
According to the Big Bang Theory, the whole matter of the universe began to exist at a particular time in the remote past.  A proponent of such a theory, at least if he is an atheist, must believe that the matter of the universe came from nothing and by nothing. 

R – The R in our acronym stands for Radiation.  Back in 1965 Arno Penzias and Robert Wilson discovered that wherever they looked in the sky they detected radiation – the radiation from the initial explosion of the Big Bang!  They won Nobel Prizes for their discovery.  This Cosmic Background Radiation is evidence for the Big Bang itself.  It’s the last vestiges of the heat from the original explosion, and it crushed any hope that the universe has always existed.  After all, if it had always existed, there would’ve been no explosion like the one we’ve found!

G – If the Big Bang actually happened, scientists predicted that we should see variations in the temperature of the radiation that Penzias and Wilson discovered.  These changes in temperature allowed matter to group together and form galaxies.  In 1992 they found them.  So important was this discovery that world renowned astronomer Stephen Hawking called it “the most important discovery of the century, if not all time.”  Because of the extreme time it takes for these things to become visible to us, we are actually seeing images from the past, and what we are seeing are the seeds of Great Galaxies (the G in SURGE) – we are seeing where the great galaxies and galaxy clusters would eventually form.  Another prediction of the Big Bang is proven. 

E – Einstein makes up the E in SURGE, and it’s his Theory of General Relativity that is our final piece of evidence for the beginning of the universe (not the final piece that exists, just the last one we’ll look at).  Einstein’s theory demands an absolute beginning for time, space and matter.  In fact, it shows that each of these three things depends on the other to the point where you can’t have one without the others.  Einstein himself recognised the significance of his discovery and acknowledged the problem that comes with proving the universe is not eternal – you are now faced with the question of how it came to be!

These five lines of evidence, wrapped up neatly in the acronym SURGE are five easy to remember and communicate pieces of evidence that the universe had a beginning, and they are simple enough for anyone to understand.  Let’s now add one that’s a little more advanced.    

In 2003, Arvind Borde, Alan Guth, and Alexander Vilenkin were able to prove that any universe which has, on average, been expanding throughout its history cannot be infinite in the past but must have a past spacetime boundary. What makes their proof so powerful is that it holds regardless of the physical description of the very early universe. Because we don’t yet have a quantum theory of gravity, we can’t yet provide a physical description of the first split-second of the universe. But the Borde-Guth-Vilenkin theorem is independent of any physical description of that moment. Their theorem implies that the quantum vacuum state which may have characterized the early universe cannot be eternal in the past but must have had an absolute beginning. Even if our universe is just a tiny part of a so-called ‘multiverse’ composed of many universes, their theorem requires that the multiverse itself must have an absolute beginning.[1]

These five lines of evidence, wrapped up neatly in the acronym SURGE are five easy to remember and communicate proofs that the universe had a beginning.  Let’s return to Al-Khazali’s argument and see where we stand.
  1. Everything that begins to exist has a cause – check!
  2. The universe began to exist – check!  Therefore
  3. The universe has a cause
The conclusion that the universe has a cause follows logically and inescapably because the premises are logically and factually valid.  But we can’t stop here!  What kind of cause would be sufficient to explain the existence of the whole universe?  Let’s watch a short video by Christian philosopher, theologian and all round good guy Dr William Lane Craig and see what he has to say (the whole vid is worth watching, but we’ll start just over half way (http://www.leestrobel.com/videoserver/video.php?clip=strobelT1197): 

The cause of the universe must be an:
U
C
T
I                               being of U                           P             who is also a
P             being. 

As Dr Craig goes on to say, isn't it incredible that the Big Bang theory thus confirms what the Christian theist has always believed: that in the beginning, God created the universe? Now, you have to ask yourself: which do you think is more probable, that the Christian theist is right, or that the universe just popped into existence uncaused out of nothing? 

Contingency
There is another powerful argument for God’s being the cause of the universe, but it’s a little harder to get your head around.  This is what’s called the Argument from Contingency, and it was first developed by Gottfried Leibniz, the 17th century German mathematician and philosopher.  Over the years, people have taken his basic idea and modified it slightly, so you might find some different versions of it floating about, but the one we will look at is the version defended by Dr Craig, and he offers this brief explanation and defence of the argument on his website www.reasonablefaith.org, under Question of the Week #25.[2]  Here’s what he has to say:
There are three premises in the argument:
1. Everything that exists has an explanation of its existence (either in the necessity of its own nature or in an external cause).
2. If the universe has an explanation of its existence, that explanation is God.
3. The universe exists.
Now what follows logically from these three premises?
From 1 and 3 it logically follows that:
4. The universe has an explanation of its existence.
And from 2 and 4 the conclusion logically follows:
5. Therefore, the explanation of the universe’s existence is God.
Now this is a logically airtight argument. So if anyone wants to deny the conclusion, he has to say that one of the three premises is false.
But which one will he reject? Premise 3 is undeniable for any sincere seeker after truth. So the critic is going to have to deny either 1 or 2 if he wants to deny the conclusion and be rational. So the whole question comes down to this: are premises 1 and 2 true, or are they false? Well, let’s look at them.
According to premise 1 there are two kinds of things: (a) things which exist necessarily and (b) things which exist contingently. Things which exist necessarily exist by a necessity of their own nature. Many mathematicians think that numbers, sets, and other mathematical entities exist in this way. They’re not caused to exist by something else; they just exist by the necessity of their own nature. By contrast, contingent things are caused to exist by something else. They exist because something else has produced them. Familiar physical objects like people, planets, and galaxies belong in this category.
So what reason might be offered for thinking that premise 1 is true? Well, when you reflect on it, premise 1 has a sort of self-evidence about it. Imagine that you’re hiking through the woods one day and you come across a translucent ball lying on the forest floor. You would naturally wonder how it came to be there. If one of your hiking partners said to you, “It just exists inexplicably. Don’t worry about it!”, you’d either think that he was crazy or figure that he just wanted you to keep moving. No one would take seriously the suggestion that the ball existed there with literally no explanation.
Now suppose you increase the size of the ball in this story so that it’s the size of a car. That wouldn’t do anything to satisfy or remove the demand for an explanation. Suppose it were the size of a house. Same problem. Suppose it were the size of a continent or a planet. Same problem. Suppose it were the size of the entire universe. Same problem. Merely increasing the size of the ball does nothing to affect the need of an explanation.
Premise 1 is the premise that the critic typically rejects. Sometimes critics will respond to premise 1 by saying that it is true of everything in the universe but not of the universe itself. But this response commits what has been aptly called “the taxicab fallacy.” For as the nineteenth century atheist philosopher Arthur Schopenhauer quipped, premise 1 can’t be dismissed like a cab once you’ve arrived at your desired destination!
It would be arbitrary for the critic to claim that the universe is the exception to the rule. The illustration of the ball in the woods showed that merely increasing the size of the object to be explained, even until it becomes the universe itself, does nothing to remove the need for some explanation of its existence.
Notice, too, how unscientific this critic’s response is. For modern cosmology is devoted to the search for an explanation of the universe’s existence. This attitude would cripple science.
Some people have tried to justify making the universe an exception to premise 1 by saying that it’s impossible for the universe to have an explanation of its existence. For the explanation of the universe would have to be some prior state of affairs in which the universe did not yet exist. But that would be nothingness, and nothingness cannot be the explanation of anything. So the universe must just exist inexplicably.
This line of reasoning is obviously fallacious. For it assumes that the universe is all there is, so that if there were no universe there would be nothing. [This objection is often made by atheists trying to avoid the conclusion of some reality beyond the physical universe.]  In other words, the objection assumes that atheism is true! The atheist is thus begging the question, arguing in a circle. I agree that the explanation of the universe must be a prior state of affairs in which the universe did not exist. But I contend that that state of affairs is God and His will, not nothingness.
So it seems to me that premise 1 is more plausibly true than false, which is all we need for a good argument.
What, then, about premise 2? Is it more plausibly true than false?
What’s really awkward for the atheist at this point is that premise 2 is logically equivalent to the typical atheist response to the contingency argument. Two statements are logically equivalent if it is impossible for one to be true and the other one false. They stand or fall together. So what does the atheist almost always say in response to the argument from contingency? The atheist typically asserts the following:
A. If atheism is true, the universe has no explanation of its existence.
This is precisely what the atheist says in response to premise 1. The universe just exists inexplicably. But this is logically equivalent to saying:
B. If the universe has an explanation of its existence, then atheism is not true.
So you can’t affirm (A) and deny (B).
But (B) is virtually synonymous with premise 2! So by saying in response to premise 1 that, given atheism, the universe has no explanation, the atheist is implicitly admitting premise 2, that if the universe does have an explanation, then God exists.
Besides that, premise 2 is very plausible in its own right. For think of what the universe is: all of space-time reality, including all matter and energy. It follows that if the universe has a cause of its existence, that cause must be a non-physical, immaterial being beyond space and time. Now there are only two sorts of thing that could fit that description: either an abstract object like a number or else an unembodied mind. But abstract objects can’t cause anything. That’s part of what it means to be abstract. The number 7, for example, can’t cause any effects. So the cause of the existence of the universe must be a transcendent Mind, which is what believers understand God to be.
The argument thus proves the existence of a necessary, uncaused, timeless, spaceless, immaterial, personal Creator of the universe. This is truly mind-blowing!
The critic has one alternative open to him at this point. He can retrace his steps, withdraw his objection to premise 1, and say instead that, yes, the universe does have an explanation of its existence. But that explanation is: the universe exists by a necessity of its own nature. For the atheist, the universe could serve as a sort of God-substitute which exists necessarily.
Now this would be a very radical step to take, and I can’t think of any contemporary atheist who has in fact adopted this line. A few years ago at a Philosophy of Time conference at City College in Santa Barbara, it seemed to me that Professor Adolf Grünbaum, a vociferous atheistic philosopher of science from the University of Pittsburgh, was flirting with this idea. But when I raised the question from the floor whether he thought the universe existed necessarily, he was quite indignant at the suggestion. “Of course not!” he snapped and went on to say that the universe just exists without any explanation.
The reason atheists are not eager to embrace this alternative is clear. As we look about the universe, none of the things that make it up, whether stars, planets, galaxies, dust, radiation, or what have you, seems to exist necessarily. They could all fail to exist; indeed, at some point in the past, when the universe was very dense, none of them did exist.
But, you might say, what about the matter out of which these things are made? Maybe the matter exists necessarily, and all these things are just different contingent configurations of matter. The problem with this suggestion is that, according to the standard model of subatomic physics, matter itself is composed of tiny particles called “quarks.” The universe is just the collection of all these quarks arranged in different ways. But now the question arises: couldn’t a different collection of quarks have existed instead of this one? Does each and every one of these quarks exist necessarily?
Notice what the atheist cannot say at this point. He cannot say that the quarks are just configurations of matter which could have been different, even though the matter of which the quarks are composed exists necessarily. He can’t say this because quarks aren’t composed of anything! They just are the basic units of matter. So if a quark doesn’t exist, the matter doesn’t exist.
Now it seems obvious that a different collection of quarks could have existed instead of the collection that does exist. But if that were the case, then a different universe would have existed – a universe made up of different quarks, even if identically arranged as in this universe, would be a different universe. It follows, then, that the universe does not exist by a necessity of its own nature.
So atheists have not been so bold as to deny premise 2 and say that the universe exists necessarily. Premise 2 also seems to be plausibly true.
But given the truth of the three premises the conclusion is logically inescapable: God is the explanation of the existence of the universe. Moreover, the argument implies that God is an uncaused, unembodied Mind who transcends the physical universe and even space and time themselves and who exists necessarily. What a great argument!



[1] William Lane Craig, ‘Question of the Week #308: Fact-Checking the Fact-Checker of the Craig-Rosenberg Debate’, http://www.reasonablefaith.org/fact-checking-the-fact-checker-of-the-craig-rosenberg-debate, accessed 12 March 2013.

[2] William Lane Craig, ‘Argument from Contingency’, www.reasonableaith.org/argument-from-contingency, accessed Friday 21 February 2014.

Prepared by D England, using various material from Dr William Lane Craig and Chapter 3 of I Don’t Have Enough Faith to be an Atheist by Geisler and Turek, unless otherwise cited.  Translated for Youth by J Simmons.